It's like claiming that we won't be drinking water anymore in a few years because something better will come along.
Besides, bitcoin 2.0 was called litecoin. It was interesting but not needed.
Most of your arguments don't make any sense because they are talking about completely different systems/goods that are ESSENTIAL in our life. Do we need water to survive? Hell yes, we will surely be drinking it in a few years. What's going to replace water? It's been around since forever and your claim that Bitcoin is equal to water is just blatantly wrong. Bitcoin is not the non-plus ultra, it is an amazing piece of technology, but it still has flaws that have yet to be solved before it becomes our standardized form of payment processing.
I've seen one of your posts above about HTTP not being replaceable and comparing it with Bitcoin. Has there been any compelling technology with the potential to replace HTTP (and therefore requiring all servers/web browsers to adapt and take the effort to change the current normed protocol)? Definitely not. It is much harder to replace something standardized, with a higher entry-barrier and where the user has little input in deciding what needs to change than something that has yet to grow and where the user can freely decide what they want to use.
The entry barrier for an altcoin is insanely low and really anyone can make their own currency. The low entry barrier does absolutely not guarantee that another dominant player will evolve, but that does not erase the possibility, that a new, better project will establish and replace the system it evolved out of.
Bitcoin is not essential (far from it, yet) and it still has to change a lot to be able to attract the masses. And I guess your point comes from the statement "in the future, everyone will be using Bitcoin to purchase over the internet without even realizing it". Are we there yet? Nope. Can another, faster, better solution replace Bitcoin and become the invisible payment processor of the internet that EVERYONE will be using? YES.
The problem is though, everyone who's not up to snuff on the technical side of the coin seems to assume that something better can come along and replace bitcoin. The techies, however, will tell you otherwise.
Being first-to-market always trumps improvement when it comes to protocols...
Hahaha, oh Luke, you really think that you are the only one on this forum that can be treated as a Bitcoin-expert. Once you start to be more objective and able to realize what's going on, I think we would have some very interesting conversations between the 2 of us.
So let me elaborate on the current flaws of Bitcoin:
- Mining is currently concentrated to a few pools (Selfish mining)
- Inefficient mining algorithm (energy waste) which leads to centralization due to ASIC miners dominating the space
- Bigger requirements to scale the tps and efficiency of the network
- Long transaction confirmation time
- For BTC to become a currency, it needs to fight the current banking system which is in cozy relations with government officials. And it not only needs to do that in one country, but world-wide. (I am not stating that this is not possible, protests would have to happen. But it is a huge huge target).
- High entry barrier
- Deflationary problems which leads to the high volatility problem we currently suffer (and will suffer in the next months/years)
- Not feasible for the "masses" right now because storing all your money on a file on your computer that can be easily retrieved by malware is definitely not appealing (More to that below)
- No customer protection. Now you may be thinking "But dude, that's what Bitcoin is all about, no chargebacks!", now does the average consumer care about this? Nope. What he wants is a solution that gives him the security that he will either get his good or his money back. (P2SH wallets are great though)
These are just a few flaws (of the top of my head) that the Bitcoin community has to face before prospering and achieving its ambitious goals. Am I stating that this is not do-able? Far from it, most of them are very do-able but it takes time for Bitcoin to evolve, grow and become the internet standard in payment processing.
This reshaping and product iteration is done by 2 parties: The core devs and startups. The core devs are doing a great job - but they are mostly hobbyists and only a few are working full-time on the project. But they are lacking resources and it is possible for another team, working on a completely separate project (opposed tcolored coins etc.) to basically overrun BTC and bring new technology faster to the market. That's what open-source is for: Innovation happens at a much faster pace and basically anyone is invited to contribute.
And the other party is the startups or lets say the ecosystem which is being built around Bitcoin. These guys are much more important than the core devs in the sense that they are solving problems that can not be solved by Bitcoin itself. They are the ones lowering the entry barrier, working on education (which is still the biggest problem by far) and creating products that try to integrate Bitcoin in peoples every day life. But this again leads to problems of centralization, trust and insecurity that another startup that wants to ride on the Bitcoin train to make money is losing millions of dollars.
This definitely does not attract new users and a lot needs to happen in regards to Bitcoin itself, the problems of centralization and the problems of trust and protection for customers.
Now for Bitcoin to really take off it not only needs to appeal to users and the visionaries as us, but it needs to appeal to governments. Bitcoin needs to create a plausible situation in which everyone wins without having to fight for its cause. Does it help the community if an Amir Taaki rages about Banks and how they will be destroyed in the future? Absolutely not. This requires diplomacy, this is not a radical movement.
Each and every phone added to our phone network makes the overall network more valuable because we all have someone else we can call on it...
The statement that the network effect will secure Bitcoin's future is illogical. History has shown that the "network effect" can be replicated, and will be replicated by the superior service.
First mover advantage is also just a temporary advantage in the sense that you have some leverage in regards to product iteration/testing and early customer acquisition. This does by no means imply that someone with a better and bigger idea won't innovate on top of your success and overrun you.
There are so many things wrong with this sentence I just don't know where to start... For one thing, there aren't 'dozens of teams' working on improving & innovating bitcoin. There are Many thousands.
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I find it funny the way your arguments are structured. You basically try to prove the other person wrong by all means without cross-checking your own arguments.
Yes, there are thousands of teams of working on Bitcoin alternatives. But only a dozen can be taken serious. All the others are just playing the usual hype pump and dump game in which the creator of the coin becomes insanely rich. None of these AltCoins bring value to the table or offer solutions that can not be solved by Bitcoin itself. Litecoin is by no means Bitcoin 2.0, it is simply an alternative that is on par with Bitcoin: No major innovation or improvements to Bitcoins core value.
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Now here is my conclusion, by no means am I a naysayer to Bitcoin - it's actually the complete opposite. I am an advocate and an activist, an entrepreneur (the same as you I suppose) that wants to see changes happen in our society and our current financial systems. I, the same as you, took this challenge in my own hands to not only participate, but to accelerate this process by creating something that will help the population be aware of this product and adopt it in their every day life.
I have a team of more than 8 people now, I have hardware guys that created this tool (and which we are going to open-source soon)
Bitcoin POS Terminal - Imgur , I am incorporated in the best country in the world and have all the licenses required to go big, I am expanding in China to offer our solutions to the market and I will receive a substantial investment in one of my products next week.
Why am I doing all this? I believe in a future and the technology behind Bitcoin. And I believe that we can achieve a lot more in regards to economic and social equality and fairness. I believe in the idea and want to help the movement with my own vision of the future and want to contribute to all of this.
I am not going to join this argument anymore as arguments are never a solution and lead to more splitting than consensus. In general, me and you are wasting our precious time by arguing about the future. Neither you and me can predict it. But we can influence it - and we surely won't create our own destiny by arguing and standing our point. Prove it to the masses with your products/ideas and you will have achieved a lot more. But just start to think more objectively and don't be driven by your own desire. Think of what the population wants to see. Nobody will care if the Bitcoins you have been hoarding for the past years will drive past $1000 again. Bitcoin is not meant to be there to be hoarded in your wallet as a value storage.
"If you argue and rankle and contradict, you may achieve a victory sometimes; but it will be an empty victory because you will never get your opponent's will." - Ben Franklin
In that sense, we should move our ass and get back to work. Not fight against each other but create products that change humanity.