Yes I know, it's all about the delegates because they aren't bound and can vote for whoever but last I heard from the Paul campaign was that they expect to have about 500 total delegates (bound and unbound) at the convention out of about 2,000 total delegates for all candidates. Santorum/Gingrich could turn around and vote for paul and there would be a brokered convention but do you honestly think that their delegates would vote for Paul over Romney?
FINALLY you're talking about something sensible!
I knew I shouldn't put you on the ignore list yet... Good to have you aboard.
Alright, there are a couple of missing variables in your equation here. It's waaaaaaaaaaaay too simplistic to say 500/2000 + a few we steal from Newt and Frothy... In fact the 500 number itself is simply an estimate that Paul would announce PUBLICALLY.
I trust we have 500 delegates like I trust Dresden deeply cares for the Juice!
This game Paul and R$ are playing is half Chess, half Poker. They can't afford to let the other see which chess pieces they have in their hands. They knew that from the start... So trusting that 500 is it, is silly, for all I know we could have 1200 already... Because we were deeply entrenched, sending in stealth delegates from the very first convention. If they were clever enough, R$ may never know until the 1st round of voting that he doesn't really have any delegates at all.
Now, let's say for argument's sake that Paul truly sees 500 Delegates now... But several states have yet to choose their delegates yet, including the two largest states! Was Paul adding in an unknowable number to his total? No, I think he would have left any future delegates out of that total entirely. It's likely that he did that on purpose to get the delegates in those remaining states fired up to overcome the perceived huge forces there, feeling that they could make the difference.
THEN there is the fact that we see Frothy and Newt delegates come over to boards like the Daily Paul and fall in with us all the time...
And Finally, there is the fact that Paul's speeches are DAMN moving, and he is well known for mopping up the fence-sitters when he speaks at conventions... Like he did yesterday, to a crowd of 17,000 people at the Texas GOP state convetion! If you watch one film about Paul between now and the August, watch that speech:
[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8BS7AFqukV0]Ron Paul Speech w intro Texas Republican State Convention June 7 12 entire speech - YouTube[/ame]
OMG it was moving... And many eyewitnesses have said they saw R$ people actually CRY in the audience while watching this. (Of course they could have been undercover RP ppl, but either way they're our delegates now!)
Speeches like these make ppl determined to vote one way vote the other way when no one's looking. That's the power of having this particular cause, true liberty, on your side.
So tune out the Media and watch the delegate counts bro. Texas will be very revealing, and we should know within a few short days how awesome that turned out, but so far all results positive and we've already taken over 3 committee chairs in the GOP!
