Not necessarily. But I have a hard time parsing the bad ideas you're discussing from your own ideas. I can't tell if you're trying to sum up what mainstream charlatans think, or your own perspective.
Well I've not heard too many people besides you say that deflation can be good thing to economic progress and innovation.
I see what you're saying about how there are usually periods of inflation and deflation like a wave.. but usually the periods of money supply contraction (deflation) are not great growth periods at all.
Personally, I am taking no strong stance cause I would need to look at more data, run experiments, watch human investing behavior in deflationary periods, etc.
But if I had to make a guess right now I'd guess that mild controlled inflation might have some benefits over deflation for some people but at the same time it is theft to those with money. It also depends on your definition of benefits though.
Any manipulated currency cannot be a "good" in any sense. That's because the only way to derive a "good" level of inflation, is through the market. It can't be centrally imposed.
Why can't it? Because you won't accept any form of policy, government, or currency manipulation that doesn't agree with your AnCap principles because you think they're morally wrong. I get that. You hate the whole idea of government manipulation of markets/currency/etc and the limiting of your individual freedom.
If there was a policy that imposed a law (like a tax) on individuals but at the same time had the benefit improving the quality of life for nearly everyone you would be against that law - without question. You'd probably go even further and say that life will
always be better for everybody or at least most people under a system with no laws or tax. But I don't see things so black and white so I don't know exactly what the best course would be w/out experimentation and examples.
I don't even know how I'd define 'better' qualities of life. If i had to give up some freedom for some comfort (quality of life) I don't know at what freedom vs comfort level I'd buckle.
Basically, it sounds like for AnCap purists, individual freedom trumps everything else in life. I can respect that. But you'll sacrifice any benefit of any other system to get pure individual freedom.. or you'll outright deny that there could ever be any benefit whatsoever from any other system. Am I wrong about that? Could there ever be any benefits from other systems? 'Benefit' being subjective...
The first 100 odd years of the US had relatively stable, to deflationary money excepting the civil war period. That was also the period of greatest economic growth in America and the start of the industrial revolution.
I don't know if this was the greatest period of economic growth. There were plenty of depressions in this time period. Yes, it's all cyclical.
Empirically speaking, I think the idea that businesses need loan money by creating credit out of thin air (note, savings which do not actually exist) isn't a very strong concept. There is very little evidence of this.
Not sure I am understanding you. In an inflationary period credit is created by the desire of those with wealth to not let it dwindle away through inflation. They want to loan it, or risk it, or else it dies. I feel this fucking need every day. If there were a currency that definitely would not lose value during my lifetime I'd likely put most of my wealth in it instead of trying to figure out how to invest my money. The credit doesn't come out of thin air it comes from saver's savings accounts. It only is made from thin air at the level where the FED creates it and first loans it out.
The loan market isn't supposed to be a bottomless well, just like every investment is not supposed to pay off. When capital (savings) are scarce, a market economy naturally adjusts consumption trends to create more savings by increasing the price of money. And when there are a surplus of savings, the market tends to incentivize consumption of the surplus by decreasing the price of money.
I agree that too much credit is a bad thing. I agree not all investments should pay off. If you go the AnCap way.. the market naturally determines what the average available credit should be. But if you go the manipulated market way it might be possible to artificially increase the average available credit to the benefit of the economy? The question then becomes can a manipulated market maintain itself in that way if inflation is artificially kept at low levels?
I wish I could explain this stuff better.
Well I'm tired an half of what I said was prob rambling and the other half poorly worded and not well thought out.
But about BTC.. of course it's a currency.. the question is is it a good currency. Then define good. Anything can be a currency. BTC is definitely an interesting one.