what are you basing that on?
Many things; things that Ron Paul and many others have been screaming about for years and the guv just won't listen to.
Most importantly among them a few events that have happened lately with the USD and the fact that Keynesianism is still on control of its' trajectory. These things are major, end-is-near-type issues that our media won't even report on... Making the problems even worse.
As far as I can tell, a dollar won't be able to buy a penny in a few years; in a decade I suspect the FRN will no longer be in use anywhere.
The police state isn't just growing at the same rate it always has either; for uncle sam to keep us using their nearly-defunct currency, they'll do the same thing every other country has ever done to prop it up: capital controls.
From the white house's point of view, we'll be "forcing them" to turn over our gold again, limit the amount of money we all can withdraw on a daily basis from our banks, and stopping us from selling or taking anything of value at all from here to elsewere. Eventually it will lead to a complete shutdown of the borders. That's why I'm outta there.
With all that going on, large percentages of taxpayers are going to default on their taxes, either because they're broke or because they can't stand uncle sam anymore.
That's when the guns come out... Can't say who'll fire the first shot though; probably an IRS SWAT team member. (Yes, those already exist.)
Sound far-fetched to you still? Open up some history books.