Bubble Economy--picking the next big trend

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$5 Submissions

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It seems that since the 90s, many parts of the global capital market's been on differing bubbles. First bubble--Dot Com stocks. That crashed and burned. People moved on to the Housing Bubble. That one peaked and popped in 2007. Now we're on Peak Oil. This one probably will take longer to stabilize because the fundamentals are there--increased demand from rapidly developing countries like China and India.

What's your guess for the next great bubble? Commodities? Metals? These have surged recently.
 


the bong bubble .... this war on drugs is pissing everyone off and is worthless (great job controlling import & abuse guys ... 2 thumbs way, way up your ass).

Taxing it will relieve the deficit bubble and help soothe the overcrowded jail bubble.
 
Spend time building businesses you know inside and out instead of chasing bubbles; you'll make more money and lose less.
 
I agree with Andrew... The reasons why bubbles burst is because there's nothing in them other than hot air, and a lot of people don't know when to get off so they end up losing out BIG time.

That said, water purification/desalinization will be big very soon.
I'm also thinking radioactives, as that's the fastest way to get new power sources that are sufficient for the sort of baseload that India and China will be needing in a few years.
 
i was doing a virtual stock thing and the solar energy stock was always doing great, even when everything else was in the shitter.I think it was STP
 
posted by $5 Submissions:
What's your guess for the next great bubble? Commodities? Metals? These have surged recently.

I would just like to take the opportunity to wish you a happy and prosperous 2001. PS: you missed the "surge" in metals, eg. gold from $252 the last time I bought any serious amount to $720 last time I sold a serious amount, in spring of '07. Since then it's just been bouncing up and down on support.

All commodities are effected by the continual weakening of the US dollar. The US dollar is in turn effected by speculation and central bank manipulation based on "political news." What this all leads to is that the niche, contrary to appearances, is not "commodities or metals" but "FUD." Capitalise on Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt and you'll bank every time. Trying to focus too closely on one aspect of a FUD-driven market will cost you in the long run.


Frank
 
Commodities could be the next. Many are moving to gold and silver now as an inflationary hedge. The high of gold in 1980 at around $800 is equivalent to about $2000 now so it has a way to go yet. Although it isn't really in full swing yet, mention to regular people about buying gold and you will most likely get a weird look in return, the herd isn't in them, but soon it will be. Also Gold has been supressed, in fact today you can see The Cartel at work, offloading gold to push the price down. But as you can't print gold or get it from the thin air the jig on this will soon be up - then the price of gold will explode, it will be like trying to pump the ocean into your tub.

Oil is also about half speculation at the moment. I do believe in peak oil and it is entirely expected, but this isn't it.

If you want a really a scary bubble check this out;

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edit: ignore the title, the story is there!
 
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'FUD.Capitalize on Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt and you'll bank every time.' worked for IBM and Microsoft back in the day. Seems to work long term for complex and/or expensive products like insurance and real estate, too. Maybe you've got something there.
 
I don't even think we've seen the start of debt relief services and personal finance products/info. My entire generation is living off their credit cards, leasing their lifestyles, and writing debt all day long. It's only going to get worse.

I think LED is going to get bigger. Also think about the things that will grow once the baby boomers REALLY start retiring, selling their houses, needing nursing homes, increasing medical bills, etc etc.
 
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