Wow , lots of people who like posting information and don't know a dang thing about the market or properties.
RX7 is right in what he says.............
This is coming from a licensed real estate agent who sells 90% bank owned properties, as well as someone who owns 3 investment properties and a 5 unit apartment complex.
Real estate is VERY LOCAL , some areas still have bubbles, some areas are likely on the lowest possible swing. Many places are selling properties for HALF of building costs from 3 years ago , and there's not a whole lot of room for them to go down.
Partner with a local real estate agent who knows foreclosures, you can find these by going to local brokerages and finding out who sells the most repos. I can help you find who's big in your area and set up an appointment if you want.
Buy GOOD PROPERTIES, all my properties were bought in 06 and 07 during the 'height of the bubble' but guess what? They're not under water and they are MAKING MONEY because I was careful , bought at a steep discount ,ect. The apartment complex I own currently was purchased for $68k (That's a little over $11k per unit) that brings in around $500 per unit per month. If you buy properties that make a return , they're really recession proof unless your local employment skyrockets (Which is the case in Detroit). This can only be overcome by understanding the local employment situation, and hoping/praying you don't have a really bad crash , in that case you're screwed in ways more than the real estate market.
Buy properties that make money , and buy them at a discount, if you do that you'll never have to worry about bubbles , ect. Buy during the height, buy during the worst times, only sell during a boom , so you can go out and get more properties for a discount.
A good property is purchased using a 2% rule, meaning you divide by 2% the total monthly income. 500/mo income / 2% = $25,000. Each market is different, but I can find properties that meet this criteria in any state, however there are some cities that are still too high.
Here's how a good investment plays out, and the profit potential using the 2% method for investing.
Property purchase price (Including total rehab) - $25,000
Property is purchased with a 75% LTV Loan (The property should appraise for anywhere from 30-100% more than you pay for it) the 75% should be based on the purchase price.
So , you end up putting 25% ($6250) down on the property.
The monthly payment on the property will be around $160 (20yr mtg), with an additional $100 going to taxes/insurance and the like.
So , you should clear around $250/mo in income off that property, saving back $50 or so per month in a flexible account for repairs.
$250 a month will repay the initial investment in 23 months excluding repairs, which should be minimal at this time as the property should be in somewhat decent shape.
23 a month repayment would come out to a yearly 48% return on investment, which is just a little bit better than stock *snicker*.
This doesn't include appreciation ,which should be pretty decent, but I won't factor it in due to the potential for a market decline. Also , there are tax benefits with this I won't get into , but they can also outweigh the income in of itself.
Real estate is a wonderful investment, but it takes careful research and knowledge, otherwise you spend more money than you should for the property, and loose your shirt over crackhead tenants because you didn't know what you were doing.
Also , the reason I got in AM in the first place was to monetize my REO blog, which from what I can/could tell , was the #1 most visited REO blog in the world. This isn't saying alot becuase not too many people blog about it , but I managed to get contacts at almost every single bank in the US. Having said this , the costs & time spent trying to chase down direct bank agents isn't worth the hassle and legal headaches. Unless you've got a few million to throw around on purchasing direct tapes, just wait till they're on the market with a agent, and bid. I developed a strategy that usually saves a investor 20% on the purchase of a home compared to a run of the mill buyer. Banks care about 1 thing - money , and all REO asset managers have a calculation they run through a transaction to decide who gets the house.